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ProTipster's English Premier League Tracking & Recap


26 Nov 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
Sadly, our sole pick on QPR crumbled as they lost to Norwich City. Our method of analysis would always be on improving our picks. Perhaps some would have trust the picks too much. Do remember this analysis is still only in the 46.4% strike rate. So just take our selection as a reference for you to decide what to stake on. We hope to see some improvement on the upcomming EPL weekend. Cheers and happy punting



Our statistics from the 30 EPL picks we have made so far:
Total Picks : 30
Total Wins: 12
Total Win1/2 : 1
Total Draws : 2
Total Loss : 13
Total Lose1/2 : 2
Profit/Loss : -1.5 Units
Strike Rate : 46.4%





19-20 Nov 2011 EPL Analysis Recap

Fantastic results from our EPL Analysis over the weekend! Our analysis on Stoke vs QPR and Chelsea vs Liverpool were spot on this time whereby we predicted QPR and Liverpool both on Asian Handicap. To cap off the fantastic weekend, we recommended a small stake on Liverpool to Win at Odds 4.1! Now we look forward to the coming weeks as we try to achieve consistent winning predictions. Stay tune with us!


Our statistics from the 29 EPL picks we have made so far:
Total Picks : 29
Total Wins: 12
Total Win1/2 : 1
Total Draws : 2
Total Loss : 12
Total Lose1/2 : 2
Profit/Loss : -0.5 Units
Strike Rate : 48.1%

5-6 Nov 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
We started off with win on Newcastle on Saturday but broke even when our selection of Stoke City ended with a thrashing given by Bolton. 1 Win and 1 Loss sums up our EPL picks for the weekend of 5-6 Nov 2011. Horrible outcome for Stoke despite going into the match with confidence after winning their midweek Europa League match.

Our statistics from the 27 EPL picks we have made so far:
Total Picks : 27
Total Wins: 10
Total Win1/2 : 1
Total Draws : 2
Total Loss : 12
Total Lose1/2 : 2
Profit/Loss : -2.5 Units
Strike Rate : 44.0%

29-30 Oct 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
For EPL week 29-30 Oct 2011 we only manage to select 2 matches for analysis and verdict. Out of the 2 matches we have selected, we managed to select a winner from the Wigan vs Fulham match while losing half our stakes on the Sunderland vs Aston Villa match. That would bring us to +0.5 unit profit for this week. A sign of improvement as we continue to refine our selection method.

Our statistics from the 25 EPL picks we have made so far:
Total Picks : 25
Total Wins: 9
Total Win1/2 : 1
Total Draws : 2
Total Loss : 11
Total Lose1/2 : 2
Profit/Loss : -2.5 Units
Strike Rate : 43.5%

Although our current strike rate and profit/loss figures are not impressive, we believe that our picks would continue to improve. Do take not that from the previous week, we broke even and this week we made a +0.5 unit profit. Proof that our selection method is working. We look forward to the coming weeks and hope that our readers would continue to follow our analysis and picks. Cheers!

23-24 Oct 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
We end our EPL week 23-24 Oct 2011 with 2 Wins, 1 Draw and 2 Losses. Nothing much to shout about as we could only break even from the 5 picks we made. Although we could have gone for Newcastle -0.75 FT where it would have provided us with 1/2 unit profit, but we are satisfied with the breakeven outcome.

There's still much to look into our analysis and picks especially on the losses on Wolves and Fulham. A little bit more of adjustment and we hope to see a profitable outcome the coming week. 

Of the 5 picks, our most confident pick was on Tottenham, which we did not mention anywhere in this blog. Perhaps from next week onwards, some form of rating would be added to our analysis to indicate the confidence level of each pick. 


Felt sorry for the United fans as their team were thrashed by neighbors City. While Chelsea got off the wrong footing and by getting themselves 2 red cards, not much can be said about their performance apart from the fact that they brought the loss to themselves. Till the coming weekend, the Soccer Service Team bid everyone good luck and happy punting! Cheers!
 
15-16 Oct 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
Selected 2 Matches for that week, one on QPR -0.5 FT and the other on Wigan Lvl FT using the refined analysis. Unfortunately, the outcome ended the opposite of what we expect it to be. However, we still have lots of confidence in the method and shall try it out again for next weekend's EPL matches. We don't plan to judge the effectiveness of a method just from 2 matches. We are going to see the outcome from at least 10 matches to see the winning average before we decide if its feasible to continue with the current analysis style.

1-2 Oct 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
Looks like the refined analysis aren't going that well. Total results for 2 days : 2 Wins and 3 Lost. Poor poor average. Never the less. from those 5 matches, we have managed to draw some conclusions from it. We shall still continue posting picks although it has resulted in overall losses. So for the readers, do take it only as reference and nothing more.

Hopefully the Soccer Service team would be able to grasp the odds pattern and in the mean time the readers could rely on our Inhouse tipster, Mr. Ryan78 whose current record is 2 Wins and 0 Losses. An experienced punter with 7 years punting experience under his belt, Mr. Ryan78 (who is also an ardent Manchester United fan) only specializes in EPL matches. We at Soccer Service team would welcome him as a member of our team and hopefully would see him provide consistent winning tips for the entire season!

There will be an international break this coming weekend and rest assured, we will not be resting as we try to provided the analysis for England national team matches.


24-26 Sept 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
Horrendous analysis for that weekend! 1Win, 1 Draw  and 2.5 Lost, wipes out all the profit from the first week. I am currently working on refining the analysis and hopefully this effort would yield positive results this coming weekend. Realize there are flaws in deducing handicaps from statistics which I have managed to come up with another alternative here. Also looking at odds prediction from a different perspective instead of waiting for the closing odds.

Much excitement here if the refined analysis works this coming weekend. Meanwhile, lets all enjoy the Champions League for the next two days. Cheers and good luck! 

12-18 Sept 2011 EPL Analysis Recap
I am currently only selecting English Premier League matches for my analysis due to the large following of soccer fans, my personal inclination towards it as well as to ensure the outcome of each analysis would be accurate by concentrating on a single league. 

From period 12-18 Sept 2011, I have completed 5 analysis as listed below:

I started off with the analysis on QPR vs Newcastle Utd which resulted in a morale boosting winning pick made on Newcastle Utd. Looking back at the match preview, I would consider this pick as a lucky pick as the match was totally dominated by QPR yet they fail to score.

3 other analysis followed for Saturday's EPL matches which resulted in 1 Win and 2 Losses. Swansea pick was the only winner from the analysis while Bolton self destructed by getting a red card while Aston Villa misses a hat-full of chances to secure a win.

Sunday's analysis resulted in 2 Wins and 0 Losses. Picks on Sunderland and Tottenham were spot on as I was greeted with 4 goals thrashing of their opponents. A rewarding outcome indeed considering the effort placed into the analysis. Looking forward to the upcoming matches and I hope that you will continue to support this humble blog of mine. Cheers!
Date Home Away Selection FT Score Outcome
12 Sept 11
QPR
Newcastle
Newcastle +0.25 FT
0-0
WIN HALF
17 Sept 11
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Aston Villa -0.5 FT
1-1
LOST
17 Sept 11
Swansea
West Brom
Swansea +0.25 FT
3-0
WIN
17 Sept 11
Bolton
Norwich
Bolton -0.75 FT
1-2
LOST
18 Sept 11
Tottenham
Liverpool
Tottenham Lvl FT
4-0
WIN 
18 Sept 11
Sunderland
Stoke
Sunderland -0.25 FT
4-0
WIN 
24 Sept 11
Wigan
Tottenham
Wigan +0.5 FT
1-2
LOST
24 Sept 11 NewcastleBlackburnNewcastle -0.5 FT3-1WIN
24 Sept 11West BromFulhamWest Brom Lvl FT0-0 DRAW
25 Sept 11QPRAston VillaQPR -0.25 FT1-1 LOST1/2
25 Sept 11NorwichSunderlandSunderland +0.25 FT2-1 LOST
1 Oct 11
Aston Villa
Wigan
Wigan +0.75 FT
2-0
LOST
1 Oct 11
Wolves
Newcastle
Newcastle Lvl FT
1-2
WIN
1 Oct 11
Everton
Liverpool
Everton Lvl FT
0-2
LOST
2 Oct 11
Fulham
QPR
QPR +0.5 FT
6-0
LOST
2 Oct 11
Swansea
Stoke
Swansea Lvl FT
2-0
WIN
15 Oct 11
QPR
Blackburn
QPR -0.5 FT
1-1
LOST
15 Oct 11
Wigan
Bolton
Wigan Lvl FT
1-3
LOST
22 Oct 11WolvesSwanseaWolves -0.5 FT2-2 LOST
22 Oct 11NewcastleWiganNewcastle -1 FT1-0 DRAW
23 Oct 11FulhamEvertonFulham -0.25 FT1-3 LOST
23 Oct 11Man UtdMan CityMan City +0.5 FT1-6 WIN
23 Oct 11BlackburnTottenhamTottenham -0.5 FT1-2 WIN
29 Oct 11SunderlandAston VillaSunderland -0.25 FT2-2 LOST1/2
29 Oct 11WiganFulhamFulham Lvl FT0-2 WIN
5 Nov 11
Newcastle
Everton
Newcastle -0.25 FT
2-1
WIN
6 Nov 11
Bolton
Stoke
Stoke Lvl FT
5-0
LOST
19 Nov 11
Stoke
QPR
QPR +0.75 FT
2-3
WIN
20 Nov 11
Chelsea
Liverpool
Liverpool +0.75 FT
1-2
WIN

Signs Of A Scammer : Part 2

THE FAKE PICTURE SCAM
To the naked eye this picture of a bet-slip looks like any other normal bet-slip. 
Never did this scammer realized that he has made the biggest mistake of all thanks to a very very detailed friend who scrutinized the ticket closely and found that this was a fake!

This scammer state the fixed match is on 19 Nov 2011 (19.11) between Hereford United - Burton Albion (kickoff at 16:00). Now I have zoomed in to this picture and take a look at this:
So it's pretty obvious that this ticket has been altered. How could a bet ticket be showing a match date that is ONE MONTH AGO from the actual match date? Clearly this picture of a ticket has been altered by the scammer!

In fact now the entire ticket is questionable of its authenticity. So does all other tickets posted on the site by this scammer. 

Realizing his mistake, the scammer quickly made changes to the fake ticket and published a new one with the date changed on his site as shown below:
A quick zoom in of the picture and you could see that the date has been edited to show the correct date:
I have attempted to contact the bookmaker for this bet slip from Hrvatska Lutrija on 23 Nov 2011 to verify this ticket, but have yet to receive any feedback from them. Here's a screenshot of my email to them.

THE SCAMMER
Now after highlighting the fake pictures, I am sure we would all like to know who this scammer is:

Information:
E-mail : trap.offside@yahoo.com
Facebook Profile (I can't access since this scammer has blocked me)

Screenshot of offisde-trap.net

SUMMARY
In conclusion, pictures are easily altered to convince many that the scammer is selling genuine fix tips. If it wasn't for the mistake this scammer had made and the good eye sight of a friend, we would never have known that this site is not trusted unless we purchase the picks and lose money from it!

In our next edition of Signs of Scammers, we will be exploring how to differentiate between a real picture and a fake picture. Stay tune next Week and Happy Punting!




26 Nov 11 : FULL ANALYSIS - NORWICH vs QPR

OUTCOME : LOSE






VS



NORWICH vs QUEENS PARK RANGERS
FT SCORE
  2 : 1
OPENING ASIAN HANDICAP : NORWICH -0.25 FT (w81)


STATISTICAL COMPARISON ANALYSIS
1. Head To Head - (Split 0.5 Favor Point)
2. Home Form Vs Away Form - QPR (1 Favor Point)
3. Premiership Ranking - QPR (1 Favor Point)
4. Last 6 Games Form - QPR (1 Favor Point)
5. Chances of Clearing Handicap Home vs Away - QPR (1 Favor Point)

Total Favor Points Norwich : 0.5 / 5 Favor Points
Total Favor Points QPR : 4.5 / 5 Favor Points

PREVIOUS MATCH FORM STATS:


NorwichQPREdge
Shot (On Goal)9(2)8(5)QPR
Corner Kick15QPR
Possession43%58%QPR
Saves93Norwich






QPR3


Norwich1


Even0

Deduced Asian Handicap : QPR -0.5 FT (w80)

MATCH PREVIEW
Available HERE at Soccernet.com


Norwich City have taken two points from a possible 12 while QPR have managed six points from their last four matches.
NORWICH TEAM NEWS
Russell Martin will continue in central defence for Norwich but the club's injury problems at the back look to be easing.
Central defenders Zak Whitbread and Daniel Ayala came through reserve matches and could be in contention to come off the substitutes' bench in this weekend's Barclays Premier League match against QPR.
Ritchie de Laet is also training again after recovering from a back injury. Striker James Vaughan is still sidelined with a long-term knee injury, as is centre-back Elliott Ward.
QPR TEAM NEWS
QPR captain Joey Barton is suspended for the trip to Carrow Road.
Heidar Helguson is a doubt after playing only a limited part in training because of his eye injury, but Fitz Hall, Jay Bothroyd, Jason Puncheon and Adel Taarabt are back.
Matt Connolly (ankle), Kieron Dyer (foot), DJ Campbell (foot) and Brian Murphy (calf) are definitely out.
SQUAD
Norwich City: Ruddy, Naughton, Martin, Barnett, Tierney, Whitbread, Ayala, Crofts, Johnson, Fox, Bennett, Pilkington, Jackson, Hoolahan, Holt, Morison, Rudd, Drury, Surman, Wilbraham.
QPR: Kenny, Hall, Gabbidon, Taarabt, Traore, Bothroyd, Faurlin, Orr, Buzsaky, Young, Smith, Helguson, Wright-Phillips, Ferdinand, Puncheon.


SUMMARY
1. ANALYSIS :
The Canaries vs Rangers in a match up that's most likely overshadowed by other matches. While Norwich have lost 2 on the trot, they have not been losing those matches easily. The same could be said for QPR who has brought bought Man City and Tottenham to the limit before losing out. Based on the team news, we see that Rangers would be playing today without their influential captain Joey Barton as well as start midfielder Heidar Helguson. Never the less, the return of Adel Taarabt should compensate for the loss of Ranger's key players. Norwich should have their regulars fit for these match and the advantage is on them playing at home.

2. ODDS ANALYSIS :
Opening odds for this match is Norwich -0.25 FT (w81). As of time of writing, the odds stands at Norwich -0.5 FT (w84), with no clear indication on whose side punters are siding on.

Our statistically deduced odd is at QPR -0.5 FT (w80). Comparing this with the opening odds by bookmakers, we see that oddsmakers are putting up an irresistible odd for Norwich considering the fact that Rangers are without certain key players for this match. 

3. CONCLUSION
On paper and form, Rangers should have the better advantage. We strongly believe oddsmakers are playing on the sentiment that Rangers are missing key players along with the fact that Norwich are playing at home to warrant odds of Norwich -0.25 FT. An odds to good to be true for punters to stake on Norwich, which they would only lose half their stakes if the match ends with a draw. 


Rangers are a resilient team that does not revolve around a single key player. We believe that even without Barton, Rangers are able to shoot down the Canaries. A small stake on Rangers to Win at 3.43.

FINAL VERDICT : Queens Park Rangers +0.25 FT (Odds Available For Staking At MANSION)
*Note : All picks are by no means assured of the outcome, the final decisions lies within your own choice.